Bloom & Gloom
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average rating: 4.00 / 3 ratings
Created by Robert Blum
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:03-14-2010

PRIMARY STRATEGY: Long Term . . .
Invest (more than 12 months) in
equities having price leverage,
wide competitive moat, and will
thrive in weak US dollar or
inflationary environment. Will
sell holding if stock falters or
rises too far, too fast or
languishes for too long -
relative to total market.

First Component:
Fossil Fuel & Alternative Energy

Second Component:
Precious metals, Mining,
Natural resources/Ag

Third Component:
Technology, Medical/Health &
Shipping/Transportation

SECONDARY STRATEGY: Short Term -
Trade opportunity situations
with time horizon of less than
12 months. Stocks that are
oversold, having high put/call
ratio, possible merge, or likely
to present earning surprises.
Having high sales to price ratio,
quick turnaround situations or
companies positioned to take
advantage of market conditions.

Currently there are no short term
trade positions.

RESOURCES/SUBSCRIPTIONS:

The Complete Investor
by Stephen Leeb

Daily Market Update
by Yin Lin

Uncommon Wisdon
Brodrick & Edelson

Mauldin - Outside Box

Doug Casey - Deaily Reckoning

Precious Metals

***********SPECIAL NOTES***********

* Stock splits and current cost
basis of each holding listed
in stock descriptions.

* Tracking of stock portfolio
conducted on an annual basis.

* Cash: 5.187

CURRENT PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK -
Portfolio valuation has
increased 3.99% in past two
weeks; however is down 0.21
since the beginning of the
year.

Consideration List - to buy:
None currently.

Consideration List - to sell:
HAWK and some DRYS by year end.

14 of the 28 positions (an
increase of 3) is currently
in the green from original
purchase date.

Latest update: March 14, 2010
Recalculate holding
percentages.

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • AGU
    Agrium Inc. Commo
  • $71.71
  • -0.54%
  • $71.82

Ag retailer and fertilizer producer for North and South American markets which will increase sales due to growing demand for food stuff (eat and fuel). Pricing is strengthened due to recent purchase of competitor. Consistantly trades above 50 day moving average with income growth projected to exceed 150%. Strength of stock valuation has been in 90% for past 12 months. Vote of whether to take over CF will be made in near future. Date Acquired 12/24/07 $68.08/share 3.696% of portfolio

People owning AGU also tend to own: AEMDNNNLSPOTRCISUTCK

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • CF
    Cf Industries Hol
  • $96.38
  • -0.36%
  • $95.30

Fertilizer production with very respectable PE of about 25. Recently purchased facility in Switzerland to increase product output. Announcement dated 10/24/07 that CF added to S&P Midcap 400. Vote of whether AGU will take over CF will be made in near future. Date Acquired 10/17/07 $75.68/share 4.189% of portfolio

People owning CF also tend to own: JBSSPBYSUAITBACTECUATRACDE

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • CLB
    Core Laboratories
  • $131.49
  • -0.63%
  • $131.61

Oil & gas service company that facilitates the efficiency in energy patch. Trend that will stay healthy into the transition of accepting and implementing an alternative energy source. Date Acquired 05/04/06 $66.92/share 05/13/09 $86.13/share 5.146% of portfolio

People owning CLB also tend to own: BABDCBTJETREVEPGNBTGS

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • FCX
    Freeport-mcmoran
  • $80.66
  • +0.16%
  • $79.63

Play based upon not much downside risk as well as continual inflation theme. Positive is Moody's recently upgraded FCX credit rating. Also, factoring in prior takeover, the projected numbers reflect 50/50 chance/opportunity to double share price in 3 years time frame - beating rule of 72. Date Acquired 03/28/07 $65.71/share Date Acquired 07/10/07 $89.24/share 5.337% of portfolio

People owning FCX also tend to own: AAPLBLE.TOCHINACTRPELR.TOEMUFMCN

TheStreet.com Rating: B- What is this?

  • +
  • FTI
    Fmc Technologies
  • $60.86
  • -2.11%
  • $62.01

Designs, manufactures and services subsea production and processing systems for oil industry. Projected sales increase greater than 20% and income growth greater than 50% for coming year. Stock value has had high strength for past year and stock price likely to increase 15% for year ahead. Date Acquired 08/31/07 $94.45/share Split 2 for 1 09/03/07 cost basis $47.23/share 4.615% of portfolio

People owning FTI also tend to own: ABDBOHCNODJOEEFTELXFMC

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • CAM
    Cameron Internati
  • $43.96
  • -1.55%
  • $44.39

International oil support manufacturer (pressure/separator, valve, wellhead, blow-out preventers) for on-shore, off-shore and deep-sea drilling. About a 3.5 billion dollar company should have room to run. Date Acquired 03/30/07 $63.94/share Stock Split 2 for 1: 12/27/07 $31.97/share basis 05/13/09 $27.73/share 4.419% of portfolio

People owning CAM also tend to own: ABXBHPBVNCEOCRESYDXDFCX

TheStreet.com Rating: B- What is this?

  • +
  • AUY
    Yamana Gold
  • $9.96
  • -0.99%
  • $10.08

Gold and copper interests. Protection against weak US dollar and headge against moderately increasing world pricing environment. Operating in relatively safe latin America region. Copper demand should remain strong for water supply lines in growing emerging regions and for battery components. Sales growth projected to be quite significant increase in coming year. Recently merged with another mining operation which (regardless of additional stock issuance) should translate favorably to current stockholders with increased supply and effiiciency of mining operations. Date Acquired 04/19/07 $14.74/share Date Acquired 05/07/07 $13.32/share Date Acquired 07/02/08 $16.31/share 2.729% of portfolio

People owning AUY also tend to own: BDYIMAXAIRNEFIIFXIHLKGC

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • NOV
    National Oilwell
  • $43.26
  • -1.55%
  • $43.78

The #1 equipment provider to oil & gas industry on the move (share price). Relative strength has steadily been increasing to currently be placed in top percentile of stocks. Reasonable PE of about 19, income growth projected to be in excess of 85% with net profit margin garnering respectable 11%. Projected share value increase over 20% for the coming 12 months. Date Acquired 05/30/07 $92.87/share Date Acquired 10/17/07 $77.66/share Split 2 for 1 0928/07 cost basis $46.395/share Date Acquired 10/10/08 $25.59/share Date Acquired 10/28/08 $22.97 6.096% of portfolio

People owning NOV also tend to own: AHMAIZALBAMPAVTAXCABBI

TheStreet.com Rating: B- What is this?

previous next
 

Start Price

Return Value

Start Date

AGU 61.50 +16.60% Jan 2nd
CF 90.78 +6.17% Jan 2nd
CLB 118.12 +11.32% Jan 2nd
FCX 80.29 +0.46% Jan 2nd
FTI 57.84 +5.22% Jan 2nd
CAM 41.80 +5.17% Jan 2nd
AUY 11.38 -12.48% Jan 2nd
NOV 44.09 -1.88% Jan 2nd
DRYS 5.82 +1.72% Jan 2nd
KGC 18.40 -4.18% Jan 2nd
NVDA 18.68 -8.14% Jan 2nd
LDK 7.01 -4.28% Jan 2nd
AEM 54.00 +7.39% Jan 2nd
XTO 46.53 +0.39% Jan 2nd
PBR 47.68 -2.20% Jan 2nd
CFX 12.04 -5.90% Jan 2nd
ABX 39.38 -0.94% Jan 2nd
PDE 31.91 -4.26% Jan 2nd
ENER 10.57 -24.41% Jan 2nd
BHP 76.58 +1.54% Jan 2nd
GG 39.34 -0.64% Jan 2nd
EGO 14.17 -7.20% Jan 2nd
HAWK 22.54 -9.14% Jan 2nd
AU 40.18 -6.40% Jan 2nd
VALE 27.45 +9.87% Jan 2nd
SLW 15.02 +2.00% Jan 2nd
NG 6.13 +16.48% Jan 2nd
BVN 33.47 -4.24% Jan 2nd

Average return:

-1.40%

Success rate:

46.43%

Deleted Stocks:

PAAS 23.81 +5.00% Jan 2nd

Deleted Hate Stocks:

HEB 0.56 +25.00% Jan 2nd

Tracking Started: 03-30-2007

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